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Every week the Radix Week in Review records what the ecosystem said would happen, with a date by which it should have happened and the check that will settle it. When the date arrives the claim is scored against the ledger, the repository or the source, and the result is kept here whichever way it went. Nothing is removed from this page because it turned out badly, and nothing is recorded that has no date and no check.

Open predictions

Scoring is no longer suspended. Radix mainnet halted at 21:19:06 UTC on 31 August 2026 and had still produced no round when this page was re-read at 11:02 UTC on 6 September. The 30 August note recorded three claims as unscorable for the duration, on the ground that the Gateway answers /state/validators/list with HTTP 500 while its database is behind the network. That was wrong. The freshness guard is skipped for any request carrying at_ledger_state, so a read pinned to state version 557,840,622 returns HTTP 200 with the full validator set as it stood when the network stopped. Any on-ledger claim whose settling epoch fell before 339,896 can therefore be scored now, which is how the StakeSafe fee claim scores below. What cannot be scored is anything needing a transaction after the halt, because nothing has executed since.

ClaimWhoDue byHow it gets checkedRecorded
hyperscale-vm records at least 200 commits in the fortnight from 31 August to 13 September 2026.flightofthefox2026-09-14GitHub API: GET /repos/hyperscalers/hyperscale-vm/commits with since=2026-08-31T00:00:00Z and until=2026-09-14T00:00:00Z, counted across pages on the default branch. Baseline: 338 commits in the seven days to 30 August 2026, all by flightofthefox, across five of seven days, against 11 in hyperscale-rs and none in radixdlt-scrypto, babylon-node or radix-engine-toolkit. Hit at 200 or more commits in the fortnight; miss below it. A single contributor is the whole sample, so a holiday settles this as surely as a change of direction would. First in-window reading, taken 1 September 2026 11:12 UTC: 6 commits, all dated 31 August and none on 1 September, against a baseline pace of roughly 48 a day. Re-read 5 September 2026 23:07 UTC: still 6 commits, the newest of them a451a671 of 31 August 13:21 UTC, so the repository has recorded nothing for five consecutive days and 194 commits remain to be found in the eight days to 13 September. The window opened on the day of the drain, and the repository owner spent that evening liquidating his exposure to Radix in public, which is recorded on the drain page. At one day that reading dated a disruption; at five it is the pace.2026-08-30
At least one of the Radix DAO's 24 governance documents moves from pending to in force, with its SHA-256 digest recorded on the ledger.Radix DAO2026-09-20radixdao.org/govern listed 24 documents across ten categories on 18 August 2026, every one pending and none in force. Re-read 30 August 2026: the page now lists 23 rule-bearing documents, each marked "Signed, awaiting ratification" with its SHA-256 digest published and recorded in ratification proposal GP-PRE-1, and the page says in its own words that nothing there is in force yet. Signing is not ratification, so the claim is untouched by it. Resolved when any document reads as active and its digest is on-ledger. Re-read 30 August 2026 after the Radix Accountability Council activated radixdao.org as the DAO official venue: the index now lists 27 rule-bearing documents, 26 reading "Signed, awaiting ratification" and one pending, the digests recorded in ratification proposal GP-PRE-1, and the page states that nothing there is in force. The count grew and the status did not, so the claim is untouched. Re-read 5 September 2026: radixdao.org/govern lists 24 rule-bearing entries, 23 of them reading "Signed · awaiting ratification" with a published SHA-256 digest and the Roles Registry pending, alongside three reading guides carrying no status at all. The page still states in its own words that nothing there is in force, so a third reading leaves the claim untouched. The count is three below the 27 recorded on 30 August, and the three unstatused guides are the likely difference, so it is not read here as documents being withdrawn.2026-08-18
Radix mainnet commits a round again, ending the halt that began on 31 August 2026.Radix node runners2026-09-20Gateway POST https://mainnet.radixdlt.com/state/validators/list with no at_ledger_state. Hit when it answers HTTP 200 with a ledger_state.epoch above 339,896; miss while it answers 500 NotSyncedUpError. Baseline at 11:02 UTC on 6 September 2026: HTTP 500, current_sync_delay_seconds 481,423 against a max_allowed_sync_delay_seconds of 720, the network 5 days 13 hours 43 minutes behind. Read the unpinned endpoint, not /status/gateway-status, which answers 200 from the frozen ledger throughout the halt and cannot distinguish a restart from its absence.2026-09-06
A babylon-node release carrying the Eagle Ray protocol update is published.radixdlt/babylon-node2026-09-20GitHub API: GET /repos/radixdlt/babylon-node/releases. Hit when a tag above v1.3.0.5 appears whose notes or diff name Eagle Ray or the system-version-five receiver check. Baseline read 6 September 2026: newest release v1.3.0.5, published 1 June 2026; zero commits on the default branch since 31 August; 185 branches, none named for Eagle Ray; the only activity on 6 September is two housekeeping pull requests, #1074 (workflow test) and #1075 (CI cleanup). The fix and the protocol update live in radixdlt-scrypto pull request #2093, open and unmerged since 2 September. A protocol update reaches mainnet only when validators signal readiness for a node version containing it, so this claim has to resolve before 2026-09-06-mainnet-restart can.2026-09-06
CaviarNine's two validators, unmentioned in its departure announcement, are deregistered, sold, or have a fee change filed against them.CaviarNine2026-10-04Gateway /state/validators/list for CaviarNine-1 (validator_rdx1sd8c8v9tffjtgqtuzygnctrmyfnhkd63avcgpzuknx3dlklds85rkv) and CaviarNine-2 (validator_rdx1sv7zpyuj27ycmcsnw0de94j2rp93csq6gvcm4dl4yh4p4fxv9j5pqx). Re-read at epoch 339,438 on 30 August 2026: both still registered, both still accepting delegated stake, effective_fee_factor.current 0 on each and no effective_fee_factor.pending, holding 113,701,732 and 115,610,098 XRD. CaviarNine-2 has shed 4,022,122 XRD (3.4%) in the five days since the previous reading while CaviarNine-1 held flat, which is delegators leaving rather than anything the operator has done, and none of it is a hit condition. Read effective_fee_factor.pending, not validator_fee_change_request: both validators have carried a non-null request since epoch 282,893, a cut to 0 that took effect roughly seven months before this claim was recorded and was never cleared, so the raw field is non-null whatever happens next. Hit if either deregisters, stops accepting stake, changes owner, or acquires an effective_fee_factor.pending by the due date. Re-read at epoch 339,487 on 30 August 2026 11:11 UTC: both still registered, both still accepting delegated stake, effective_fee_factor.current 0 on each with no pending, holding 113,723,443 and 115,613,836 XRD. CaviarNine-2 has recovered slightly against the 30 August 07:06 reading. Re-read 6 September 2026 at 11:02 UTC, pinned to state version 557,840,622, epoch 339,896, the final state the ledger reached at 21:19:06.179 UTC on 31 August 2026, which is the only read the halted Gateway will answer: both still registered, both still active in epoch, effective_fee_factor.current 0 on each with no pending entry, holding 113,116,830 and 115,034,368 XRD. No hit condition is met, and none can now be met before the network restarts, because deregistering, selling or filing a fee change all require a committed transaction.2026-08-23
The Marshall Islands issues a certificate of formation for RADIX DAO LLC.Radix Accountability Council2026-10-25The Radix Accountability Council reported on 29 August 2026 that it and counsel had agreed amended terms with MIDAO, that payment and submission of RADIX DAO LLC to the Marshall Islands government follow, and that the filing rolls out from Monday 31 August. It also said the registry takes four to six weeks to grant and issue the certificate once the submission is complete, and that it would report advancements rather than every step. Hit when a certificate of formation for RADIX DAO LLC is published or announced, on radixdao.org notices, in the RadixAccountabilityCouncil channel, or in the Marshall Islands registry. The six-week window from 31 August closes on 12 October; this allows a further fortnight. Re-read 5 September 2026, and the date this window is measured from has moved. RAC member Tadkis posted at 13:17:43 UTC on 5 September, at t.me/RadixAccountabilityCouncil/988, that the agreement with MIDAO has been signed and the registration fee paid, and that formal registration is scheduled to begin on Monday, which is 7 September and a week later than the 31 August the council gave on 29 August. Six weeks from 7 September closes on 19 October, so the fortnight of slack recorded above is now six days.2026-08-30

Resolved

ClaimDue byOutcomeEvidenceScored in
StakeSafe's three validators raise their fees as scheduled: Amsterdam and Rotterdam from 15% to 25%, Seed Node from 15% to 100%.2026-09-06HitHit, and scored on evidence the 30 August note recorded as unreadable. The Gateway refuses an unpinned state read while it is five days behind the network, but the freshness guard is skipped for a read that names a ledger state, and the frozen state is 288 epochs past Amsterdam's settling epoch. Read at 11:02 UTC on 6 September 2026 with at_ledger_state pinned to state version 557,840,622, epoch 339,896, the final state the ledger reached at 21:19:06.179 UTC on 31 August 2026: /state/validators/list returns HTTP 200 with all 287 validators. StakeSafe Amsterdam (validator_rdx1s066xuq885l0mttgmx4ptflte6fepkt0c06mqnqtdgajj4mcwh70q4) reads effective_fee_factor.current 0.25 on 75,671,832 XRD; StakeSafe Rotterdam (validator_rdx1s048k34ctk3m57gumema2e5jmhfxhdryyr5hq42xa9q59pvn8lezg8) 0.25 on 78,235,400 XRD; StakeSafe Seed Node (validator_rdx1svlvyezsxp467pznd2kfnhqpenmw7hpdgnxjgu3s8mzxtruz77d3q3) 1 on 210,603 XRD. All three still store validator_fee_factor 0.15, which is the engine declining to rewrite the substate and the reason the check named effective_fee_factor. Three of three as claimed, effective at epochs 339,608 and 339,609, roughly a day before the network stopped.Radix Week in Review, 6 September 2026
StakeSafe files a fee change request on the Avaunt Staking validator it bought on 21 August, raising the fee above 2%.2026-09-20HitHit on 26 August 2026, 25 days before the due date, and the settling transaction is on the ledger: txid_rdx17sfhjgn0j8ymny889992j8aemk3q6vrjs2x97v6xpccrhe35w63snnyd3s at 20:47:04 UTC, epoch 338,450, state version 555,398,021. It proves the Avaunt owner badge [834bcbdc3bf9d9211f827af8b2c84c56cd156a4de412690718c624a2beb0] from account_rdx16xrp5e8faqxfa8j20xh5u29js8umdz7zcu6m0xnjfewkcxkpkdl84f, the same account that holds StakeSafe Amsterdam's owner badge, and calls update_fee Decimal("0.25") on the validator. Confirmed at the register at epoch 339,438 on 30 August 2026 07:06 UTC: effective_fee_factor.current 0.02 with pending 0.25 effective at epoch 342,482, on 142,194,735 XRD. The claim asked only for the request to be filed, so it settles now; whether 25% is actually charged is a separate question that the epoch answers around 9 September.Wiki maintenance sweep, 30 August 2026

Every recap

2 of 2 predictions hit (100%), 6 still open. The series is published every Sunday and carried in full by its own feed.

Sep 2026

#WeekTitleWhat it was aboutLinks (wiki / out)
#11Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2026Rehearsing the RestartSix days stopped, and the fix still unmerged.18 / 2

Aug 2026

#WeekTitleWhat it was aboutLinks (wiki / out)
#10Aug 24–30, 2026A Test Network Replays Fifteen Months in Two HoursA threshold is a measuring instrument, and it reports nothing when every hand belongs to the same body.15 / 0
#9Aug 17–23, 2026CaviarNine Leaves, and Its Contracts Stay LiveAn operator owns the part that leaves; the ledger holds the part that stays.14 / 0
#8Aug 10–16, 2026A Post-Quantum Signature Lands in the New EngineAuthority that travels with a checkable mark, versus authority asserted by a name.9 / 1
#7Aug 3–9, 2026Milestone 1 Done, and the New Engine Goes PublicThe shaft is turning faster and nothing is attached to it.13 / 0
#6Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2026Hyperscale Gets Its Own Virtual MachineA road cannot be widened into a railway.12 / 2

Jul 2026

#WeekTitleWhat it was aboutLinks (wiki / out)
#5Jul 20–26, 2026Hyperscale Answers the Sharding QuestionsHyperscale's design was set against the standard list of sharding problems and answered point by point, and the Foundation put the DAO about a month out.14 / 1
#4Jul 13–19, 2026The Consensus Work Is Nearly DoneThe consensus half of the Rust rebuild is essentially built and formally verified, and after a week of worry, candidates began standing for the council.14 / 0
#3Jul 6–12, 2026hyperscale-rs Closes On Its First MilestoneEverything that moved this week was built by the community: the Rust rebuild of Radix's scaling design, a Rust SDK, and Hookah going open source.19 / 1

Mar 2026

#WeekTitleWhat it was aboutLinks (wiki / out)
#2Mar 16–22, 2026Hyperscale, One Month OpenA month after the Foundation published the Hyperscale code, its 500,000 transactions-per-second result is something anyone can rebuild and check.13 / 2
#1Mar 9–15, 2026The Handover BeginsThe Foundation invited outside operators to take over three services it runs itself, and the elected council that will oversee the process took its seat.12 / 4
HydrateLast updated 1d agov1.20.021 revisionsVerified Sep 1, 2026